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Forex Market News


Rising home lone arrears and falling dwelling approvals weigh on the Aussie

The Australian dollar is feeling the strain of housing-related headlines today, with mortgage arrears on the rise and dwelling approvals on the decline.

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European Open: Aussie inflation comes in soft, China PMI’s beat, BOE in focus

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AUD weaker on soft GDP report, CPI up next

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Technical Tuesday: Gold, USD/CAD and FTSE

In this week’s report, we are getting technical on gold, USD/CAD and FTSE.

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Currency prices

Canada Q4 GDP worse than expected, but January starting on the right foot

The Canadian GDP was much worse than expected, however the GDP Price Deflator was also weak.

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EUR/USD: Rally potential after hot Spanish and French CPI readings

The ECB had already planned a half-point rate move in March, and these stronger readings are likely to bolster officials who say that more big moves are needed beyond that to get inflation under control.

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New Zealand consumers are not helping out NZD/USD as it trades at 3-month lows

With rebuilding, more spending, and higher inflation expected, it may be difficult to keep Retail Sales down

Forex trading

Currency Pair of the Week: EUR/JPY

With CPI data out of the EU and Tokyo, along with the ECB Minutes, EUR/JPY could be volatile this week.


USD/JPY: Dollar likely to resume higher after slow start

Dollar was bouncing off earlier lows, supported by even more positive news – this time from the housing market.


USD/JPY bulls return in style

The combination of a strong US inflation report and a (predictably dovish) new BOJ governor on the radar saw USD/JPY print an impressive bullish engulfing day

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US Core PCE comes in stronger than expected; US Dollar bid

With the US Core PCE for January hotter than expected, the US Dollar is continuing its recent rise.

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In this week’s edition, we discuss a couple of dollar pairs, EUR/JPY and look forward to the key events coming up in the week ahead.

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Incoming BOJ governor Ueda tips his hat to ultra-loose policy

There have been high hopes that Ueda will bring a hawkish twist to the BOJ, but early remarks in his confirmation speech say anything but.

EUR/JPY selling off ahead of CPI and Ueda

With Japan’s CPI due out in a few hours and BoJ Governor nominee Ueda set to testify on Friday, EUR/JPY could be volatile.

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Mexico inflation pulls back after surprise rate hike earlier in February; USD/MXN

Mexico’s mid-month CPI showed that inflation seems to be leveling off. However, the rate is still excessively high.

USD/CNH: Dollar remains supported ahead of key data

If we see continued strength in US data, this will further boost the hawkish Fed bets

research paper on forex market

What's next for markets after Thursday's sharp rebound? Was that a bullish reversal or merely a short squeeze rally? #stocks #SPX #US500 #SPX500 #trading


EUR/USD and EUR/GBP in focus for eurozone CPI

Both EUR/GBP and EUR/GBP are hugging various pivot points ahead of the open, but whichever way they break initially our bias is for a break to new lows.

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US Housing Market continues to show signs of weakness; USD/JPY

Watching US 10-Year Yields and USD/JPY could give a clue as to the next direction for mortgage rates.

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Markets are waking up to a 50bp Fed hike, FOMC mins up next

It may have taken a few weeks, but markets are finally pricing in what we argued all along; a higher terminal rate and no cuts this year.

UK beats EU in the battle of PMIs; EUR/GBP takes a hit

EUR/GBP sold off aggressively after the UK posted a stronger flash PMI than that of the Euro Area.


Will USD/CAD break key resistance at 1.35 after soft Canadian CPI?

The just-released Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Canada rose 5.9% year-over-year in January...what does that mean for USD/CAD?

Improving European data boosts ECB and BOE hike bets

The publication of stronger European data again suggests that the eurozone and UK economies remain surprisingly resilient despite high levels of inflation.


European flash PMI’s and Canada inflation report in focus

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Paper reserch on forex of india

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First, the subject is receiving renewed global interest among policy makers and academicians against the backdrop of increasing globali sation of emerging economies, acceleration of capital flows, and integration of financial markets domestically as well as globally. The debt crisis in some of the developing countries in the early nineties, the East Asian crisis in 1997 and more recently the currency crisis of Argentina have posed several dilemmas to policy makers on forex reserves.

Related Papers

Chandan Sharma

research paper on forex market

Sulagna Bhattacharya

ADB South Asia Working Paper Series, No. 17.

Rajeswari Sengupta

Increased integration with global financial markets has amplified the complexity of macroeconomic management in India. The diverse objectives of a robust growth rate, healthy current account deficit, competitive exchange rate, adequate external capital to finance investment, moderate inflation, targeted monetary and credit growth rate, minimizing financial fragilities and maintaining adequate reserves need to be balanced in an era of volatile capital flows. In this paper we analyse India’s experience in negotiating the trade-offs between these varied objectives. We find that to minimize risks associated with financial fragilities India has adopted a calibrated and gradual approach towards opening of the capital account, prioritizing the liberalization of certain flows. Using empirical methods we find that instead of adopting corner solutions, India has embraced an intermediate approach in managing the conflicting objectives of the well-known Impossible Trinity – monetary autonomy, exchange rate stability and an open capital account. Our results indicate that the intermediate approach has been associated with an asymmetric intervention in the foreign exchange market, with the objective of resisting pressures of appreciation, and resulted in large accumulation of reserves. We also show that sterilization of this intervention has been incomplete at times leading to rapid increase in monetary aggregates and fuelling inflation. Finally, we conclude that while the greater flexibility in exchange rate since 2007, has allowed pursuit of a more independent monetary policy and the exchange rate to act as a shock absorber, the hands-off approach has resulted in reserves remaining virtually stagnant since 2007, leading to a significant deterioration in the reserve adequacy measures.

Matthew Higgins


praveen thakur

Tijana Šoja

Dr. Mohammad Kashif

Over the last decade, international reserves have gained the attention of researchers. Central banks of developing economies around the world, have stored large stockpile of foreign reserves. The management of these huge reserves and the associated cost of holding are the major issues faced by the central banks of developing economies. This paper reviews various type of determinants and factors affecting the international reserves.

Job Pristine , job migap

Nations rise and fall according to the trends of their economies. For it is the economic growth of a nation that confers on it, its status among the comity of Nations. Since the end of World War II, the American economy has led the world in terms of trade, manufacturing, innovation, finance etc. Hence the American state became the leading nation in the world and the dollar, the de-facto currency most sought after as a means of lubricating trade and storage of wealth. However, over the last decade there has been a gradual slow down in the American economy; growth has petered down and the status of the dollar among international currencies is on the decline. Will the dollar lost its dominant role in international transactions as a reserve currency? This paper notes that it will happen, albeit slowly. Hence, it purports to highlight the demerits of maintaining our external reserves in a single currency (Dollar).Drawing heavily from existing literature on external reserves management and exchange rate, It suggests that the monetary authorities should start a gradual divestment from purely dollar denominated securities to securities denominated in other currencies .Only the optimal level of reserves should be kept by the authorities while the excess should be used for infrastructural development, as well as institute A Sovereign Wealth Funds to manage the revenue from sales of crude oil for future generations; among others.

International Reserves held by developing countries including India have increased with a fast pace during last decade. Our study provides briefly the influencing factor of international reserves in case of India. The study takes in the areas of international reserves and trade openness in Indian context. We develop an econometric model relating to international reserves and trade openness and used logarithmic transformation of the variables for econometric estimation. Annual time series data was employed. The regression estimates shows that there is positive relationship between international reserves and trade openness in India. Our findings denotes that accumulation of international reserves is essential for Indian economy as these reserves have significant effect on trade openness.

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World Bank Policy Research Working Paper

M. Coskun Cangoz

The World's Largest Financial Market: Forex

10 Pages Posted: 2 Feb 2018

Keeris Tanamarttayarat


Date Written: January 25, 2018

Foreign exchange market is the largest financial market in the world and the value of activities in currency of one country is used to trade for the unit of currency of another country. There are four main participants in FX market such as 1) companies and individuals 2) capital market 3) Hedger 4) Speculators This research exploring the relationship of international trade of goods and services of companies and individuals associated with the following theories: 1) Supply and Demand Theory of Exchange 2) Purchasing Power Parity 3) International Fischer Effect.

Keywords: Meta-Analysis, Foreign Exchange, Cryptocurrency, Forex, Financial Market

Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation

Keeris Tanamarttayarat (Contact Author)

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Guide to Forex Trading

Strategy & Education

Forex Market: Definition, How It Works, Types, Trading Risks

James Chen, CMT is an expert trader, investment adviser, and global market strategist.

research paper on forex market

Gordon Scott has been an active investor and technical analyst or 20+ years. He is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT).

research paper on forex market

What Is the Forex Market?

The forex market allows participants, such as banks and individuals, to buy, sell or exchange currencies for both hedging and speculative purposes. The foreign exchange (forex) market is the largest financial market in the world and is made up of banks, commercial companies, central banks, investment management firms, hedge funds, retail forex brokers , and investors.

Key Takeaways

Forex Market Basics

Understanding the forex market.

The forex market is not dominated by a single market exchange, but a global network of computers and brokers from around the world. Forex brokers act as market makers  as well and may post bid and ask prices for a currency pair that differs from the most competitive bid in the market.

The forex market is made up of two levels—the interbank market and the over-the-counter (OTC) market. The interbank market is where large banks trade currencies for purposes such as hedging, balance sheet adjustments, and on behalf of clients. The OTC market, on the other hand, is where individuals trade through online platforms and brokers.

6.6 trillion

The number of daily forex transactions registered in April 2019, according to the 2019 Triennial Central Bank Survey of FX and OTC derivatives markets.

From Monday morning in Asia to Friday afternoon in New York, the forex market is a 24-hour market , meaning it does not close overnight. The forex market opens from Sunday at 5 p.m. EST to Friday at 4 p.m. EST.

This differs from markets such as equities, bonds, and commodities, which all close for a period of time, generally in the late afternoon EST. However, as with most things, there are exceptions. Some emerging market currencies close for a period of time during the trading day.

History of the Forex Market

Up until World War I, currencies were pegged to precious metals, such as gold and silver. Then, after the Second World War, the system collapsed and was replaced by the Bretton Woods agreement . That agreement resulted in the creation of three international organizations to facilitate economic activity across the globe. They were the following:

The new system also replaced gold with the U.S. dollar as a peg for international currencies. The U.S. government promised to back up dollar supplies with equivalent gold reserves. But the Bretton Woods system became redundant in 1971 when U.S. President Richard Nixon announced a “temporary” suspension of the dollar’s convertibility into gold.

Currencies are now free to choose their own peg and their value is determined by supply and demand in international markets.

Type of Forex Markets

Three are three key types of forex markets: spot, forward, and futures.

Spot Forex Market

The spot market is the immediate exchange of currency between buyers and sellers at the current exchange rate. The spot market makes up much of the currency trading. 

The key participants in the spot market include commercial, investment, and central banks, as well as dealers, brokers, and speculators. Large commercial and investment banks make up a major portion of spot trades, trading not only for themselves but also for their customers.

Forward Forex Market

In the forward markets , two parties agree to trade a currency for a set price and quantity at some future date. No currency is exchanged when the trade is initiated. The two parties can be companies, individuals, governments, or the like. Forward markets are useful for hedging. 

On the downside, forward markets lack centralized trading and are relatively illiquid (since there are just the two parties). As well, there is counterparty risk, which is that the other part will default.

Futures Forex Market

Future markets are similar to forward markets in terms of basic function. However, the big difference is that future markets use centralized exchanges. Thanks to centralized exchanges, there are no counterparty risks for either party. This helps ensure future markets are highly liquid, especially compared to forward markets.

Big Players in the Forex Market

The U.S. dollar is by far the most-traded currency . The second is the euro and the third is the Japanese yen. JPMorgan Chase is the largest trader in the forex market. Chase has 10.8% of the global forex market share. They have been the market leader for three years now. UBS is in second, with 8.1% of the market share . XTX Markets, Deutsche Bank, and Citigroup make up the remaining places in the top five.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Forex Trading

Forex markets have key advantages, but this type of trading doesn’t come without disadvantages. 

Lots of flexibility, trading almost 24/7

Plenty of trading options 

Low transaction costs 

Lack of regulation increases counterparty risk

High leverage amounts allowed

Operational risk

One of the biggest advantages of forex trading is the lack of restrictions and inherent flexibility. There’s a very large amount of trading volume and markets are open almost 24/7. With that, people who work nine-to-five jobs can also partake in trading at night or on the weekends (unlike the stock market). 

There’s a large amount of optionality when it comes to available trading options. There are hundreds of currency pairs, and there are various types of agreements, such as a future or spot agreement. The costs for transactions are generally very low versus other markets and the allowed leverage is among the highest of all financial markets, which can magnify gains (as well as losses).


With forex markets, there are leverage risks—the same leverage that offers advantages. Forex trading allows for large amounts of leverage. The leverage allowed is 20-30 times and can offer outsized returns, but can also mean large losses quickly. 

Although the fact that it operates nearly 24 hours a day can be a positive for some, it also means that some traders will have to use algorithms or trading programs to protect their investments while they are away. This adds to operational risks and can increase costs. 

The other major disadvantage is counterparty risk, where regulating Forex markets can be difficult, given it’s an international market that trades almost constantly. There is no central exchange that guarantees a trade, which means there could be default risk.

Forex Market FAQs

What exactly is forex trading.

Forex trading is the exchange of one currency for another. Forex trading is the trading of currency pairs—buying one currency while at the same time selling another.

Can You Get Rich by Trading Forex?

Forex trading can make you rich, but it'll likely require deep pockets to do so. That is, hedge funds often have the skills and available funds to make forex trading highly profitable. However, for individual and retail investors, forex trading can be profitable but it's also very risky.

How Do I Start Trading Forex?

To get started in forex trading, the first step is to learn about forex trading. This includes developing knowledge of the currency markets and specifics of forex trading. It also takes a brokerage account set up for forex trading. One of the more important things from there is setting up a trading strategy, which includes the amount of money you’re willing to risk. 

How Much Do You Need to Start Trading Forex?

In most cases, you can open and trade via forex account for as little as $100. Of course, the higher the amount you can invest the greater the potential upside. Many recommend investing at least $1,000 and even $5,000 to properly implement a strategy.

The Bottom Line

Forex trading offers several advantages over other markets, such as flexibility with types of contracts and near 24/7 trading. It also allows investors to leverage their trades by 20 to 30 times, which can magnify gains. On the downside, this leverage can also lead to major losses fast.

Bank for International Settlements. " Foreign Exchange Turnover in April 2019 ." Accessed Aug. 12, 2021.

Bank for International Settlements. " Triennial Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and Over-the-counter (OTC) Derivatives Markets in 2019 ." Accessed Aug. 12, 2021.

Forex Trading Online. " Trading Hours & Holidays ." Accessed Aug. 12, 2021.

Federal Reserve History. " Creation of the Bretton Woods System ." Accessed Aug. 12, 2021.

Euromoney. " FX Survey 2020: Press Release ." Accessed Aug. 12, 2021.

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Here’s why the U.S. dollar calls the tune for the global economy

William watts, dollar is ‘not only the dominant global currency but also a key variable affecting global economic conditions’: researchers, mark wilson/getty images.

Referenced Symbols

Call it Emperor Dollar.

A recent research paper from the New York Federal Reserve Bank broke down the U.S. currency’s crucial and perhaps outsize role in driving global economic activity, describing its influence as a self-reinforcing “Imperial Circle.”

The U.S. dollar is “not only the dominant global currency but also a key variable affecting global economic conditions,” wrote researchers Ozge Akinci, Gianluca Benigno, Serra Pelin, and Jonathan Turek, in a Wednesday blog post describing a paper they published late last year

They describe how swings by the dollar govern global macroeconomic activity:

A tightening of U.S. monetary policy sets the circle in motion, generating an appreciation of the dollar. Given the structural features of the global economy, tighter policy and an appreciation of the dollar lead to a contraction in manufacturing activity globally, led by a relatively larger decline in emerging market economies. The resulting contraction in global (ex-U.S.) manufacturing will spill back to the U.S. manufacturing sector due to the reduction in foreign final demand for U.S. goods. These same forces will also lead to a drop in commodity prices and world trade. In the final turn of our mechanism, given that the U.S. economy is relatively less exposed to global developments, the contraction of global manufacturing and global trade is associated with a further strengthening of the dollar, reinforcing the circle.

Here’s the concept illustrated in a chart:

Why does it work that way? The researchers argued that two key “assymetries” lie behind the Imperial Circle.

First, global use of the dollar DXY, -0.27% in the international monetary system greatly exceeds the relative size of the U.S. economy, as shown in the chart below:

The dollar, they noted, is the dominant invoicing currency in international trade, which serves to amplify the impact of dollar movements on global manufacturing. It’s also the dominant currency in international banking. And, they noted, previous research has shown a strong dollar tends to reduce the availability of dollar financing needed to support supply-chain linkages.

The second asymmetry is that the U.S. economy is less exposed to movements in global trade than its trading partners. Over the last 50 years, exports as a share of gross domestic product has risen sharply, particularly in the eurozone and China. In the U.S., trade as a percentage of GDP has remained relatively lower and stationary over the same period.

The researchers summarize: “the hegemonic role of the dollar in international trade and finance has expanded, while the exposure of the U.S. economy to the global economy has been relatively stagnant. This dichotomy creates the conditions for the dollar to act as a self-fulfilling procyclical force.”

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About the Author

research paper on forex market

William Watts is MarketWatch markets editor. In addition to managing markets coverage, he writes about stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities, including oil. He also writes about global macro issues and trading strategies. During his time at MarketWatch, Watts has served in key roles in the Frankfurt, London, New York and Washington, D.C., newsrooms.


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